How the 2026 simulator picked each game
Every game in your sim has an implied win probability. This page shows where each one came from — a Vegas moneyline, a Vegas spread, or a preseason fallback — and what we picked. Click any team to expand their schedule.
Data sources across 272 games
The chaos slider you set when running the sim then blends each base probability toward 50/50. The transparency view above shows the raw base — chaos = 0.